blackrock on crypto
December 26, 2023
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blackrock on crypto

Institutional investors poised for increased crypto activity in 2024, analysts say The cryptocurrency market is poised for increased activity from institutional investors in 2024, according to analysts. Professionals from three prominent crypto exchanges and a crypto lending platform anticipate a surge in interest from institutional players driven by potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF, expected rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, and a more clarified regulatory landscape. This trend has already begun, with data from the Deribit derivatives exchange revealing heightened activity from institutional investors since October 2023. Luuk Strijers, Chief Commercial Officer at Deribit, suggests that experienced participants from traditional markets are positioning themselves for more significant involvement in the crypto market in 2024. The potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF is considered a primary catalyst for increased participation from traditional finance incumbents. Leading asset managers such as Blackrock, Fidelity, Valkyrie, and ARK Invest are actively seeking approval for the first-ever spot bitcoin ETF filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. If approved, this financial instrument would provide institutional investors with a regulated means to invest in the world's largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. Bitfinex analysts highlight the significance of an Ark Invest spot bitcoin ETF approval, stating it could be a significant driver for Bitcoin's appreciation by providing a regulated and more accessible investment vehicle for both retail and institutional investors. Predictions are being made for the approval of a spot bitcoin ETF as early as January 10, 2024, based on recent amendments to ARK Invest’s application, including additional risk disclosures. Anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2024 is expected to boost institutional investors' risk-on sentiment. A rate cut situation could make risk assets like bitcoin more attractive to institutional investors seeking higher returns in a lower interest rate environment. Market indicators suggest a rate pause at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on December 13, followed by a rate cut in the spring of 2024, with rate cuts being priced in starting from May 2024. Increased regulatory clarity in the new year is another factor expected to encourage institutional investors. The approval of a spot bitcoin ETF is considered a significant step toward providing a regulated and more accessible investment vehicle. Global jurisdictions are also anticipated to clarify their regulations for the digital asset space in 2024. Regulatory actions, including the EU's MiCA legislation, the UK's Digital Securities Sandbox (DSS) initiative, and advancements in regulatory frameworks in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Japan, are expected to contribute to a more favorable environment for institutional investors. While these factors could attract institutional investors to a more active role in the cryptocurrency sector, it's essential to acknowledge the uncertainty associated with macroeconomic conditions. Some analysts have raised concerns about the possibility of a recession and an extended period of monetary tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve, highlighting the need for caution in navigating the evolving crypto landscape.

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